The full impact of U.S. tariffs on the London region’s auto sector won’t be known for a few days, manufacturers, managers and autoworkers say.
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But it’s a matter of how bad the news will be, not whether it will be bad, many say.
“I think it will shut down the industry pretty quickly,” said Mike Van Boekel, Unifor Local 88 chairperson at GM’s Cami assembly plant in Ingersoll that makes two two electric cargo delivery van models.
“I think by Thursday or Friday we will know. It’s not just auto, all manufacturing is in trouble right now.”
It’s too early to tell the impact at London’s Armo Tool that makes machinery for other manufacturers and exports to the U.S., owner Ben Whitney said.
“If it stays for long, it’s extremely impactful, but I hope it won’t stay for long,” he said.
It’s no easy task determining the level of the impact, said Vijay Lakshmikanthan, manager of operations for London-based Starlim North American Corp., a manufacturer of silicone parts for the auto and health-care industries that are exported to the U.S.
“Everything is very new. A lot of companies are waiting to see what the implications are. There hasn’t been a lot of information about specifics,” he said.
Complicating matters is the fact U.S. customers don’t know as much as Canadians about damage tariffs will bring, Lakshmikanthan said.
“A lot of customers in the States aren’t aware of the severity of this. It’s not as much in the media, the implications of the tariffs and counter tariffs, as in Canada,” he said.
U.S. President Donald Trump imposed 25 per cent tariffs on all products entering the U.S. from Canada and Mexico effective Tuesday. Canada has responded with retaliatory import taxes of its own.
The London region is expected to be hard hit by the U.S. tariffs that will increase the price of goods exported to the United States.
In 2023, more than 700 businesses in London exported about $7.8 billion worth of goods to the U.S., mostly in automotive and manufacturing but also in food and agriculture, Statistics Canada figures show.
Manufacturers’ associations and unions alike in the auto sector were quick to issue statements against the tariffs Tuesday morning.
“These tariffs must be removed as quickly as possible if we are to avoid permanent and significant damage to the North American automotive sector,” David Adams, president and chief executive of Global Automakers of Canada, said in a statement.
“Trump has fired the first shot in a full-on trade war and now every Canadian politician, business leader, worker and resident must fight back,” Unifor national president Lana Payne said in a statement. “Trump has seriously misjudged the resolve and unity of Canadians, and he has misjudged how damaging this trade war will be for American workers.”
But some automakers in Ontario took a more cautious tone.
Toyota Motor Manufacturing, which has plants in Woodstock and Cambridge that employ more than 9,000, has no plans to change production, a company spokesperson said.
“While this is still a highly fluid situation, we have no plans to change our production within the foreseeable future. Our vehicles are in high demand, and we will continue to build to plan,” Toyota spokesperson Michael Boulianesain in an emailed statement. “At the same time, we will continue to work with our federal and provincial governments toward a sustainable solution.”
Honda Canada also has no immediate plans to change production, a spokesperson said. The company employs about 4,200 people at plants in Alliston.
“As we work to understand the full impact of imposed U.S. tariffs on our business, we will take no immediate actions related to either our current manufacturing operations or future electrification plans in Canada,” a spokesperson emailed. “Our path is for the long term and with our North American powertrain production flexibility, we are confident we can pivot effectively.”
General Motors Canada did not reply to requests for comment about the company’s Cami Assembly plant in Ingersoll.
Canada’s automotive industry has navigated existential crises for the past 25 years, said Brendan Sweeney, director of the Trillium Network for Advanced Manufacturing, a manufacturers’ advocacy group, on the tariffs.
“So, this is nothing new. I think most of the assembly plants are still running. The sky is not falling.”
But the tariffs are going to be especially bad for the U.S. automotive industry, he said.
“There’s not too many General Motors pickup trucks that don’t have a frame made in St. Thomas. There’s not too many Ford Super Duties (pickup trucks) that don’t have an engine made in Windsor,” Sweeney said. “This isn’t just the U.S. shooting itself in the foot. This is the U.S. cutting off its leg.
“I think they’re going to have to smarten up really soon, you know. Make your point, get in, get out, get this cherished win that Trump is always after, and get back to normal.”
The impact of the tariffs is nuanced for suppliers such as London-based Starlim, Lakshmikanthan said.
The tariffs will be paid by the importer of record, and that could be either the customer or the manufacturer, he said.
“It opens the discussion whether our customers are paying for the tariffs or whether we’re paying for the tariffs because of the shipping arrangement. It opens up the conversation, how are we going to pay for the additional 25 per cent. It’s something neither party wants to or can absorb,” he said. “There’s a lot of work to be done.”
It’s too early to tell if the tariffs could force a shutdown in operations, Lakshmikanthan said.
“It’s something we’re going to avoid until the last breath. We also sell parts to life sciences industries, so it’s really important we’re producing those parts for medical devices. While we have tariffs, people still need health care in North America. It’s not something we can just turn off.”