Reform UK has topped a YouGov national poll for the second time in a row sending a major warning shot to the establishment parties.
The highly respected pollsters YouGov put Nigel Farage’s party on 26 per cent, one percentage point ahead of Labour on 25 and the Conservatives on 21 per cent.
The Lib Dems have kept their 14 points with the Greens on nine cent and the SNP taking three per cent.
Reform chairman Zia Yusuf said: “Reform now leads in the latest YouGov voting intention poll – with our highest ever level of support, and five points clear of the Tories. Real change is coming to Britain.”
Delving into the data, YouGov’s research revealed Reform polled as the biggest party in England, third in Wales and a shocking second in Scotland.
Reform’s strongest regions were the West Midlands and the North where the party recorded 29 and 31 per cent support respectively, more than any other party.
Farage’s army also came a close second in the South of England (one point behind the Tories) and a distant second in London (21 points behind Labour).
Perhaps most surprisingly, the populist party knocked Labour into third in Scotland, polling 19 per cent compared to Labour’s 17 per cent (both well behind the SNP on 38 per cent).
Reform has topped the latest national poll for the second week in a rowYouGovIn Wales, which is regularly touted as a Reform stronghold, the anti-immigration party only managed 21 per cent, four down on Labour’s 25 per cent and six down on leader’s Plaid Cymru.
YouGov’s findings will come as another blow to Keir Starmer whose party is taking a hammering at the polls.
It comes after one sophisticated model projected Labour Cabinet Ministers Angela Rayner (Deputy PM), Wes Streeting (Health Secretary), John Healey (Defence Secretary), Yvette Cooper (Home Secretary) and Bridget Phillipson (Education Secretary) all to lose their seats if an election was held tomorrow.
The Nowcast model, which aggregates UK wide polling and weights it for recency and historic pollsters accuracy, showed Labour would lose 163 seats on current public opinion amid a Reform/Tory resurgence.
It was Reform gaining the most ground in Labour Cabinet Ministers’ seats.
Farage’s party would snatch Yvette Cooper’s Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley constituency, Angela Rayner’s Ashton-under-Lyme area, John Healey’s Rawmarsh and Conisbrough seat, and Bridget Phillipson’s Houghton and Sunderland South patch, the model showed.
Meanwhile Wes Streeting’s Ilford North seat would go to an independent candidate.
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Big beasts currently projected to lose their seatsHoCBadenoch’s Conservatives would also be caught in the Reform tidal wave.
Big beasts Richard Holden (Shadow Paymaster General), Victoria Atkins (Shadow Defra Secretary) and James Cleverly (former Home Secretary) would all be usurped by Reform, losing Basildon and Billericay, Louth and Horncastle and Braintree respectively.
It comes after Reform UK celebrated passing the 200,000-member mark, over 50,000 more the Tories, though their membership costs £25 as opposed to the Conservatives’ £39 fee.
The two-right wing parties have been trading public blows with Kemi Badenoch emphatically ruling out a merger.
A merger in the Commons would have little effect as Reform UK only has five MPs, However, a merger for upcoming local elections could be potent.
Since the July General Election, voters have been punishing Labour in council by-elections with Starmer’s party suffering a net loss of 31 councillors.
The Conservatives have recorded a net gain of 24 seats, with Reform up ten, and this is despite the two parties consistently standing against each other and splitting the right-wing vote.