Sir Keir Starmer’s honeymoon period is already over as a shock new poll suggests more than half of Britons expect Labour to lose the next election.
The survey found that 60 per cent of respondents believe that Labour will not manage to survive a second term.
Voters were also surprisingly split on whether Starmer would lead Labour into the next election.
Fourty-eight per cent of those surveyed said they think he will still be in charge, whilst 52 per cent said they did not think that Starmer would still be Prime Minister by 2029.
Analysis by the More in Common think tank also found that Labour could be defeated at the next general election without losing a single vote.
Labour won the 2024 General Election with just 34 per cent of the vote as Tory support slumped to 24 per cent.
Recent opinion polls have suggested Labour’s lead has already slipped to as low as four per cent.
BMG Research last month revealed that Labour’s support now stands at 29 per cent, with the Tories on 25 per cent and Reform UK leaping up to 19 per cent.
However, Winter Fuel Payments and the early release of convicts appears to have sparked further disaffection with Starmer’s Government.
More in Common’s UK director Luke Tryl said: “It may seem extremely premature to be looking ahead to the next election just months after the last one, but with such a volatile electorate Labour needs to be thinking not just about how to hold on to its existing coalition, but how to grow that broad but shallow base of support if it is going to have any chance of holding onto power.
“Our analysis suggests a modest growth in their vote share to 36% is the magic number that would allow the party to see off a threat from a ‘united right’.
“Fail to do that and the party could find itself out of office, even without losing a single vote.
“Growing Labour’s base will require Keir Starmer to appeal to the left and right – winning over those moderate Conservatives who almost made the leap to Labour this time, while also winning back jaded progressive voters who don’t yet think Labour is being bold enough.”
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Reeves refuses to rule out further tax raid – ‘Difficult decisions!’
Rachel Reeves Getty
Rachel Reeves has refused to rule out a further tax raid as the Chancellor mulls over reevaluating council tax bands.
Asked if council tax changes were under consideration, Reeves said: “Well, that’s a pamphlet I wrote seven years ago and since then we’ve gone through some difficult times.
“We’re not going to be bringing in a wealth tax, but there will be a number of difficult decisions around tax and spending and welfare.”
The potential rebanding comes just weeks after Labour pushed ahead with plans to axe Winter Fuel Payments for 10 million pensioners.