A leading pollster has shared the two candidates “to watch” in the Conservative Party leadership race.

James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners, shared his analysis on an exclusive poll for GB News, which surveyed Tory members and the public on the next Conservative Party leader.

The pollsters asked the public and Tory members their top choice out of leading Conservative names including Suella Braverman, Tom Tugendhat, Kemi Badenoch, Priti Patel and Robert Jenrick.

Via a video message, Johnson said: “It’s Suella Braverman and Tom Tugendhat who are the ones to watch.”

Suella Braverman, Tom Tugendhat, Kemi Badenoch, Priti Patel, Robert Jenrick

Suella Braverman, Tom Tugendhat, Robert Jenrick, Kemi Badenoch, Priti Patel and are the leading names in the Tory leadership race


The polls showed Sullea Braverman ahead of the other potential candidates among both the general public and Tory voters. She also beat every other candidate in head-to-head polling.

Amongst the public, Braverman topped the list at 10 per cent, closely followed by Tom Tugendhat at 9 per cent.

Johnson said: “It’s a really close race in terms of who the public would prefer, mainly because a huge 6 in 10 don’t have a view.”

Amongst Conservative voters, Suella Braverman and Tom Tugendhat also come top with Suella at 15 per cent and Tom Tugendhat at 10 per cent.

Pie chart showing top conservative candidate amongst the public

This chart shows the top conservative candidates amongst the public

JL Partners

Johnson said: “If you’re running as a Conservative leader, you want to be doing well amongst the current conservatives, but you also want to be doing well amongst the public as a whole.”

Among Conservative to Reform voters, Braverman leads with 28 per cent while Priti Patel takes a distant second place at 11 per cent.

Out of people who switched to Labour from the Conservatives, Tom Tugendhat, Kemi Badenoch and Suella Braverman are all in the joint top place with 10 per cent.

The pollsters also asked Conservative Party members, who would decide the leader out of the final two candidates, which person would be their top choice.

Suella Braverman beat every candidate she was put up against, defeating Kemi Badenoch by four points, 35 per cent to 31 per cent.

Compared with Tom Tugendhat, Braverman got 37 per cent support while Tugendhat got 31 per cent.

Against her successor James Cleverly, she got 39 per cent support while he got 34 per cent.

Johnson said: “If I’m Suella Braverman, if I’m Tom Tugendhat. I’m looking at this poll and saying, ‘I take that.’

“And at least at this point in the race, it might not be reflected in the media narrative, but amongst members and voters, it’s Suella Braverman and Tom Tugendhat who are the ones to watch.”

Asked over the weekend whether she plans to be the next leader, Braverman said there will be “no announcements” yet.

She added: “We’ve just got to take our time. We’ve got to figure out what the situation is.”